Back Probabilitat d'incompliment Catalan Ausfallwahrscheinlichkeit German Probabilidad de incumplimiento Spanish Probabilité de défaut French Probabilità di default Italian 倒産確率 Japanese Prawdopodobieństwo niewykonania zobowiązania Polish 違約機率 Chinese
 | This article may be too technical for most readers to understand. (November 2013) |
| Basel Framework International regulatory standards for banks |
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| Background |
| Pillar 1: Regulatory capital |
| Pillar 2: Supervisory review |
| Pillar 3: Market disclosure |
| Business and Economics Portal |
Probability of default (PD) is a financial term describing the likelihood of a default over a particular time horizon. It provides an estimate of the likelihood that a borrower will be unable to meet its debt obligations.[1][2]
PD is used in a variety of credit analyses and risk management frameworks. Under Basel II, it is a key parameter used in the calculation of economic capital or regulatory capital for a banking institution.
PD is closely linked to the expected loss, which is defined as the product of the PD, the loss given default (LGD) and the exposure at default (EAD).